#2 boardChance-creating No. 10Age 21 · as of 2026-10-10

Arda Güler

Across 2,028 published minutes for Real Madrid in LaLiga during 2025/26, Arda Güler currently profiles as a chance-creating No. 10. Big-chance creation at 0.67 per 90 (98th percentile) is the role-defining signal, backed by pass completion in the 97th percentile and completed long-pass volume at 3.24 per 90 (97th percentile). The final-third numbers earn attention; the next question is how he finds influence when central access is denied and what he gives the side without the ball.

TürkiyeReal Madrid · data review 2026-10-10LaLiga2,028 senior minutes

Performance sample details

Real Madrid · LaLiga · 2025/26. Current registration and the team behind the published statistics are shown separately.

Photo: beIN SPORTS Türkiye · CC BY 3.0. Commons file · License

Score rebuilt: 2026-10-10
Latest data review: 2026-10-10
Performance evidence through: 2026-07-18
Performance sample: Real Madrid · LaLiga · 2025/26

Leading signal 1

Big chances created per 90

98th

Leading signal 2

Pass completion

97th

Leading signal 3

Accurate long passes

97th

Context flag

No clear role-critical concern in the published sample

Video review remains essential.

Headline output

Comparable evidence through 2026-07-18

Apps: 33
Starts: 25
Minutes: 2,028
Goals: 4
Assists: 9
G+A /90: 0.58
Non-penalty xG per 90: 0.21 /90
xA per 90: 0.38 /90

Early-season signalRole percentiles ready

Latest performance update

2026/27 season pulse

The first aggregate read on Arda Güler's new campaign, kept separate from the completed-season evidence used elsewhere on this profile.

Through: 2026-10-10
Sample: 360+ minutes
Competition: La Liga

Matches: 8
Minutes: 436
Goals: 1
Assists: 2

Early rate signals

Printed rate first · percentile where available

xG per 90

0.41 /90

69th percentile

Non-penalty xG per 90

0.41 /90

70th percentile

xA per 90

0.82 /90

75th percentile

Shots per 90

2.48 /90

64th percentile

Key passes per 90

5.78 /90

75th percentile

xG chain per 90

1.38 /90

73rd percentile

xG buildup per 90

0.63 /90

69th percentile

Recent appearances

Current-season match rows that reconcile to the aggregate sample.

Newest first · opponent context pending

vs Villarreal

2026-10-10 · La Liga

Start

77' · 0G · 0A

vs Atletico Madrid

2026-09-20 · La Liga

Start

56' · 0G · 0A

vs Elche

2026-09-15 · La Liga

Start

70' · 0G · 0A

vs Rayo Vallecano

2026-09-12 · La Liga

Sub

15' · 0G · 1A

vs Real Betis

2026-09-04 · La Liga

Start

70' · 0G · 0A

vs Malaga

2026-08-30 · La Liga

Sub

1' · 1G · 0A

vs Real Sociedad

2026-08-26 · La Liga

Start

80' · 0G · 0A

vs Espanyol

2026-08-22 · La Liga

Start

67' · 0G · 1A

Shot map

Actual shot locations, attacking from left to right. Dot size follows xG; this is a shot map, not a touch heatmap.

Shots: 12
Goals: 1
xG: 2.01

Location evidence through 2026-10-10

Early-season aggregate only. It does not change the published Wonderkid Score or board rank.

Data source: Understat; parsed with soccerdata.

Visual analysis · 01

Performance fingerprint

The canonical five-axis role shape shows the published percentiles; peer bands add selected advanced values and reviewed role-cohort evidence.

Role profile

Five published, position-aware axes form the canonical role shape for this release. Each point is a direct percentile from the validated public player record.

Attacking MidfieldPartial evidence

Visual signatureAM

Published player profile50th percentile reference

Exact evidence

Published role-axis percentile

0–100

Key passes per 9099thpercentile
Big chances created per 9098thpercentile
Dribble success85thpercentile
Duel win rate93rdpercentile
Pass completion97thpercentile

These published axes describe statistical role shape. They are not Wonderkid Score weights, a talent grade, or a tactical-fit claim.

Peer bands

Current release-window values placed on a 0–100 reviewed role-cohort percentile band. Comparison: Source-specific role cohorts with comparable release-window coverage.

Key passes

3.11 /90

Percentile99th

xA per 90

0.38 /90

Percentile98th

Completed passes

54.14 /90

Percentile97th

Crosses

5.77 /90

Percentile96th

xG per 90

0.21 /90

Percentile73rd

Accurate long passes

3.24 /90

Percentile97th

Dribble success

62.8%

Percentile85th

Non-penalty xG per 90

0.21 /90

Percentile73rd

Markers show percentile position. Raw-value distribution shapes are withheld when reviewed cohort bins are unavailable.

Visual analysis · 02

Data-led scout read

Scout read

The quickest read on the role, the standout numbers and what still needs film.

Data-led

Role identity

Chance-creating No. 10

Attacking Midfield

Dribble success at 62.8% adds another credible strength in the 85th percentile. His route into the game when opponents close the central pockets is still unmeasured.

Why he catches the eye

Big chances created per 9098
Pass completion97
Accurate long passes97

What to test on film

The published measures do not flag one obvious statistical concern.

Percentile flags open questions; they do not close them. Video, role, opponent quality and tactical context remain essential.

Evidence status · data screen only

Automated data screen

Published metrics support the role and shortlist prompts shown in this release.

Video observation

This profile does not include a completed live or video scouting assessment.

Projection

No ceiling or tactical-fit grade is published without documented human observation.

Visual analysis · 03

Comparable role shapes

Nearby public percentile profiles provide a starting point for comparison, not a claim of equal quality or upside.

Similar public profiles

Profile-shape index is a capped 0–100 similarity index built from distance across the same complete published role dimensions with identical constituent metric sets. It is not a probability and does not claim equal ability, potential, or tactical fit. The mean profile-percentile gap compares the average of those matched dimensions.

Profile similarity

Close role shape

Bilal El Khannouss

VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

Profile-shape /100

Board rank: #38
Score: 71.4
Age: 22

Shared high signal: Chance creation

Mean profile-percentile gap: 10.7 mean percentile pts lower
Estimated value tier: €25–49m4 tiers lower than viewed player

Profile Compare

Visual analysis · 04

Development tracking

A transparent baseline now, with verified change over time only when comparable future releases exist.

Development baseline

One verified point is recorded. No trend is shown until a second comparable release exists.

Baseline only

Verified score

85.5

Senior minutes

2,028

Registered role

Why there is no trend yet

The next point appears only after another release passes the same model-definition, coverage-window and publication checks. Until then, this card records a baseline and makes no movement claim.

Deep evidence

Inspect the full record

Metric tables, market context, career records, coverage notes and interpretation guidance remain available without competing with the scouting conclusions above.

Full performance tableAdvanced metrics coverage · ReadyAdvanced-metric coverage is ready with 28 reviewed percentiles, rates and efficiency values.

Advanced performance metrics

Current release-window rates and efficiency signals. Bars show the player's reviewed role-cohort percentile; the printed value remains the primary evidence.

Attacking & creation

12 measures

Accurate crosses

1.73 /90

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Big chances created

0.67 /90

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Cross accuracy

30.0%

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Crosses

5.77 /90

96th

percentile

Dribble success

62.8%

85th

percentile

Key passes

3.11 /90

99th

percentile

Shot accuracy

38.8%

67th

percentile

Shots

2.17 /90

82nd

percentile

Shots on target

0.84 /90

85th

percentile

Dribble attempts

1.91 /90

48th

percentile

Successful dribbles

1.20 /90

66th

percentile

Fouls won

1.42 /90

54th

percentile

Possession & distribution

6 measures

Passes

59.69 /90

97th

percentile

Completed passes

54.14 /90

97th

percentile

Long passes

4.44 /90

87th

percentile

Accurate long passes

3.24 /90

97th

percentile

Long-pass accuracy

73.0%

93rd

percentile

Dispossessed per 90

0.75 /90

Lower is better · percentile shown favourably

81st

percentile

Defending & duels

8 measures

Tackles

2.04 /90

57th

percentile

Interceptions

0.40 /90

13th

percentile

Clearances

0.44 /90

11th

percentile

Defensive shot blocks

0.09 /90

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Duels

8.48 /90

14th

percentile

Duels won

4.84 /90

42nd

percentile

Aerial wins

0.22 /90

5th

percentile

1v1 containment

0.98 /90

39th

percentile

Discipline

1 measures

Fouls committed per 90

0.93 /90

Lower is better · percentile shown favourably

79th

percentile

Chance quality · Understat

5 measures

xG per 90

0.21 /90

73rd

percentile

Non-penalty xG per 90

0.21 /90

73rd

percentile

xA per 90

0.38 /90

98th

percentile

xG chain per 90

0.70 /90

69th

percentile

xG buildup per 90

0.38 /90

53rd

percentile

xG-family source: Understat season observations normalized through soccerdata.

Published performance sample: Real Madrid · LaLiga · 2025/26. The club in the profile header is the separately reviewed current registration.

Metric glossary and provenance

Definitions, units and source lineage for the evidence published on this profile.

Inspect 32 published metric definitions

Published metric definitions, measurement units and data sources
Metric	Definition	Unit	Calculation	How to read it	Source
Accurate crosses	Completed crosses delivered by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Big chances created	Provider-classified big chances created, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Cross accuracy	Share of attempted crosses that were completed.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Crosses	Crosses attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Dribble success	Share of attempted dribbles completed successfully.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Key passes	Passes that directly create a shot, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Shot accuracy	Share of attempted shots that were on target.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Shots	Shots attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Shots on target	Shots on target by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Dribble attempts	Dribbles attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Successful dribbles	Dribbles completed successfully, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Fouls won	Fouls drawn by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Passes	Passes attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Completed passes	Passes completed by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Long passes	Long passes attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Accurate long passes	Completed long passes played by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Long-pass accuracy	Share of attempted long passes that were completed.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Dispossessed per 90	Times the player lost possession to an opponent challenge, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes · lower is better	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Lower raw rate is favourable; the displayed percentile is direction-adjusted	Not carried in public record
Tackles	Tackles made by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Interceptions	Opponent passes intercepted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Clearances	Defensive clearances made by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Defensive shot blocks	Shots or passes blocked by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Duels	Ground and aerial duels contested by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Duels won	Ground and aerial duels won by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Aerial wins	Aerial duels won by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
1v1 containment	Times an opponent completed a dribble past the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes · lower is better	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Lower raw rate is favourable; the displayed percentile is direction-adjusted	Not carried in public record
Fouls committed per 90	Fouls committed by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes · lower is better	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Lower raw rate is favourable; the displayed percentile is direction-adjusted	Not carried in public record
xG per 90	Expected-goal value of the player’s shots, normalized for playing time.	xG per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Non-penalty xG per 90	Expected-goal value of non-penalty shots, normalized for playing time.	Non-penalty xG per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
xA per 90	Expected assists assigned to the player’s key passes, normalized for playing time.	xA per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
xG chain per 90	Expected-goal value of open-play possessions in which the player participated, normalized for playing time.	xG chain per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
xG buildup per 90	Expected-goal value of open-play possessions involving the player before the shot, excluding the player’s shots and final pass.	xG buildup per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record

Source seasonNot carried per metric

Release captured2026-10-10

Source data-through2026-07-18

Release captured identifies the score release date. Source data-through identifies the completed comparable performance window; individual source observations can predate it. Source names remain unavailable because they are not carried per metric in the public record. Percentiles describe position within the stated comparison context. Wonderkid Score inputs, weights and formula remain proprietary and are not disclosed here.

Market evidenceValuation history coverage · ReadyValuation-history coverage is ready with 13 reviewed historical observations, alongside the separate model estimate and likely-sale range.

Scout estimate

~€125m

€100–149m tier

Rounded Wonderkid Scout estimate · as of 2026-10-10

Likely-sale range

€115M–€135M

Reviewed range

The likely-sale range is our dated estimate—not a reported asking price or guaranteed transaction value.

Market evidence

2026-06-03

1 reviewed source

Reviewed anchors

CIES Football Observatory: top 100 transfer values
External valuation model€125MObserved 2026-06-03

The Scout estimate remains ours. External observations, valuation models and reported fees are dated anchors; they are not silently averaged into the estimate or presented as an asking price.

The estimate is informed by dated player-specific market or fee evidence, reviewed comparables, and current football evidence. It is not a quoted fee or asking price.

Historical market observations

2021-07-13€100M last recorded point2026-10-10

Market reference universe: the reviewed Transfermarkt public U23 market-value table. Chart source: dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets (CC0 1.0; Transfermarkt-derived). Historical observations are not current asking prices.

Club-to-club transfer historyTransfer history coverage · ReadyTransfer-history coverage is ready with 5 reviewed records, newest first.

FenerbahceReal Madrid
2023-07-06 · Permanent · €24M
Fenerbahce U19Fenerbahce
2021-07-13 · Permanent · Fee not reported
Fenerbahce U16Fenerbahce U19
2021-01-13 · Permanent · Fee not reported
Fenerbahce Yth.Fenerbahce U16
2020-01-06 · Permanent · Fee not reported
G.Birligi YthFenerbahce Yth.
2019-02-20 · Permanent · €2.5M

Source: salimt/football-datasets (Transfermarkt-derived).

Recorded moves may not form a complete career chain. The current club shown above is reviewed separately.

Recent senior involvementRecent matches coverage · PartialRecent-match coverage is partial with 10 reviewed appearances; unavailable match context is omitted.

vs Athletic Bilbao

2026-05-23 · LaLiga · Substitute

Peer-level opponent sample

16'

0G · 0A

vs Deportivo Alavés

2026-04-21 · LaLiga · Started

Lighter opponent sample

58'

0G · 1A

vs Bayern Munich

2026-04-15 · UEFA Champions League · Started

Stronger opponent sample

90'

2G · 0A

vs Girona FC

2026-04-10 · LaLiga · Substitute

Peer-level opponent sample

26'

0G · 0A

vs Bayern Munich

2026-04-07 · UEFA Champions League · Started

Stronger opponent sample

71'

0G · 0A

vs RCD Mallorca

2026-04-04 · LaLiga · Started

Lighter opponent sample

72'

0G · 0A

vs Atlético de Madrid

2026-03-22 · LaLiga · Started

Stronger opponent sample

74'

0G · 0A

vs Manchester City

2026-03-17 · UEFA Champions League · Started

Stronger opponent sample

74'

0G · 0A

vs Elche CF

2026-03-14 · LaLiga · Substitute

Lighter opponent sample

32'

1G · 0A

vs Manchester City

2026-03-11 · UEFA Champions League · Started

Stronger opponent sample

70'

0G · 0A

Profile context and privacyPublic identity fields, release dates and age-protection boundaries.

Position group: Midfielder
Position: AM

Ages are shown only in whole years. Exact birth dates are not published for any player. Under-18 profiles do not display portraits, physical details, or detailed history.

How to read this profileHigh-level onlyInterpretation guidance and limitations without publishing proprietary calculation weights.

Wonderkid Score

A position-aware discovery score informed by performance, age, playing time and competition context. It prioritizes search and comparison; it is not a career prediction.

Percentiles and scout prompts

Percentiles compare current published role evidence. Low involvement is not automatically a weakness; tactics, opponent quality, sample size and video context still matter.

Versioned release

This score is bound to release global-top-250-2026-10-10. A public “what moved” explanation will appear only after a second comparable score, minutes and role snapshot exists.

Youth age context

Verified private cohort windows can be retained as coarse validation bands. The current release does not apply a relative-age score correction. Exact birth dates are never published, and unavailable context is never inferred.

Detailed model weights, internal provider identifiers and raw source payloads are not part of the public profile. Unavailable athletic-tracking, off-ball, contract and event-location evidence is omitted rather than estimated.

Coverage gapsNot scoredImportant scouting dimensions reserved for verified evidence rather than inferred from conventional event totals.

Athletic tracking

Top speed, acceleration, repeat sprinting and contact tolerance require consistent tracking or testing data.

Off-ball intelligence

Movement, scanning, space creation and pressure behaviour require observed location data or reviewed video.

Scout projection

Ceiling, tactical fit and development priorities require a verified human scouting report and longitudinal evidence.

Spatial evidence

Action maps require verified player-linked event coordinates. Territory, off-ball movement and physical maps require tracking data and are never estimated from totals.

Evidence grade

How much reviewed public evidence supports this profile—not a talent grade.

Strong evidence

A strong reviewed sample across the available position benchmarks.

Senior sample: 2,028 min
Role measures: 5
Requested role coverage: 28 measuresPartial

Completed comparable performance evidence through 2026-07-18. Grade presentation follows the reviewed evidence state attached to this score rebuild.