#138 boardHigh-accuracy centre-forwardAge 21

Evan Ferguson

In a 776-minute published sample for Roma in 2025/26 Serie A, Evan Ferguson profiles provisionally as a high-accuracy centre-forward. Shot accuracy at 55.6% (90th percentile) is the role-defining signal, backed by shots-on-target volume at 1.74 per 90 (94th percentile) and chance-creation volume at 1.74 per 90 (83rd percentile). There is real promise here, with too little published evidence to harden the projection.

IrelandBrighton & Hove Albion · reviewed 2026-08-26Premier League776 senior minutes

Performance sample details

Roma · Serie A · 2025/26. Current registration and the team behind the published statistics are shown separately.

Score as of: 2026-07-18
Identity updated: 2026-08-26
Performance sample: Roma · Serie A · 2025/26

Leading signal 1

Shot accuracy

90th

Leading signal 2

Shots on target

94th

Leading signal 3

Key passes per 90

83rd

Context flag

No clear role-critical concern in the published sample

Video review remains essential.

Headline output

Current release window

Apps: 16
Starts: 10
Minutes: 776
Goals: 3
Assists: 2
G+A /90: 0.58
Non-penalty xG per 90: 0.40 /90
xA per 90: 0.20 /90

Visual analysis · 01

Performance fingerprint

The canonical five-axis role shape shows the published percentiles; peer bands add selected advanced values and reviewed role-cohort evidence.

Role profile

Five published, position-aware axes form the canonical role shape for this release. Each point is a direct percentile from the validated public player record.

Centre-ForwardPartial evidence

Visual signatureCF

Published player profile50th percentile reference

Exact evidence

Published role-axis percentile

0–100

Shots per 9082ndpercentile
Shot accuracy90thpercentile
Key passes per 9083rdpercentile
Dribble success67thpercentile
Big chances created per 9069thpercentile

These published axes describe statistical role shape. They are not Wonderkid Score weights, a talent grade, or a tactical-fit claim.

Peer bands

Current release-window values placed on a 0–100 reviewed role-cohort percentile band. Comparison: Source-specific role cohorts with comparable release-window coverage.

xG buildup per 90

0.12 /90

Percentile18th

Shots on target

1.74 /90

Percentile94th

Ball security

2.44 /90

Percentile10th

xG chain per 90

0.63 /90

Percentile25th

Crosses

0.23 /90

Percentile8th

Passes

19.14 /90

Percentile37th

xG per 90

0.40 /90

Percentile39th

Shot accuracy

55.6%

Percentile90th

Markers show percentile position. Raw-value distribution shapes are withheld when reviewed cohort bins are unavailable.

Visual analysis · 02

Data-led scout read

Scout read

The quickest read on the role, the standout numbers and what still needs film.

Data-led

Role identity

High-accuracy centre-forward

Centre-Forward

Dribble success at 50.0% is less decisive in the 67th percentile. It adds context rather than another strength. His value when service dries up and the game asks him to connect rather than finish remains unmeasured.

Why he catches the eye

Shot accuracy90
Shots on target94
Key passes per 9083

What to test on film

The published measures do not flag one obvious statistical concern.

Percentile flags open questions; they do not close them. Video, role, opponent quality and tactical context remain essential.

Evidence status · data screen only

Automated data screen

Published metrics support the role and shortlist prompts shown in this release.

Video observation

This profile does not include a completed live or video scouting assessment.

Projection

No ceiling or tactical-fit grade is published without documented human observation.

Visual analysis · 03

Comparable role shapes

Nearby public percentile profiles provide a starting point for comparison, not a claim of equal quality or upside.

Similar public profiles

Profile-shape index is a capped 0–100 similarity index built from distance across the same complete published role dimensions with identical constituent metric sets. It is not a probability and does not claim equal ability, potential, or tactical fit. The mean profile-percentile gap compares the average of those matched dimensions.

Profile similarity

Related role shape

Éli Junior Kroupi

AFC Bournemouth · Premier League

Profile-shape /100

Board rank: #25
Score: 73.9
Age: 20

Shared high signal: Shot generation

Mean profile-percentile gap: 16.0 mean percentile pts lower
Estimated value tier: €90–99m3 tiers higher than viewed player

Profile Compare

Visual analysis · 04

Development tracking

A transparent baseline now, with verified change over time only when comparable future releases exist.

Development baseline

One verified point is recorded. No trend is shown until a second comparable release exists.

Baseline only

Verified score

65.0

Senior minutes

776

Registered role

Why there is no trend yet

The next point appears only after another release passes the same model-definition, coverage-window and publication checks. Until then, this card records a baseline and makes no movement claim.

Deep evidence

Inspect the full record

Metric tables, market context, career records, coverage notes and interpretation guidance remain available without competing with the scouting conclusions above.

Full performance tableAdvanced metrics coverage · ReadyAdvanced-metric coverage is ready with 23 reviewed percentiles, rates and efficiency values.

Advanced performance metrics

Current release-window rates and efficiency signals. Bars show the player's reviewed role-cohort percentile; the printed value remains the primary evidence.

Attacking & creation

12 measures

Accurate crosses

0.12 /90

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Big chances created

0.35 /90

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Cross accuracy

50.0%

—

percentile

Value verified · comparable percentile pending

Crosses

0.23 /90

8th

percentile

Dribble success

50.0%

67th

percentile

Key passes

1.74 /90

83rd

percentile

Shot accuracy

55.6%

90th

percentile

Shots

3.13 /90

82nd

percentile

Shots on target

1.74 /90

94th

percentile

Dribble attempts

2.09 /90

32nd

percentile

Successful dribbles

1.04 /90

41st

percentile

Fouls won

1.04 /90

27th

percentile

Possession & distribution

4 measures

Passes

19.14 /90

37th

percentile

Completed passes

14.73 /90

41st

percentile

Pass accuracy

77.0%

58th

percentile

Dispossessed per 90

2.44 /90

Lower is better · percentile shown favourably

10th

percentile

Defending & duels

4 measures

Duels

12.99 /90

53rd

percentile

Duels won

3.94 /90

15th

percentile

Duel win rate

30.4%

6th

percentile

Aerial wins

1.16 /90

57th

percentile

Discipline

1 measures

Fouls committed per 90

1.28 /90

Lower is better · percentile shown favourably

56th

percentile

Chance quality · Understat

5 measures

xG per 90

0.40 /90

39th

percentile

Non-penalty xG per 90

0.40 /90

46th

percentile

xA per 90

0.20 /90

46th

percentile

xG chain per 90

0.63 /90

25th

percentile

xG buildup per 90

0.12 /90

18th

percentile

xG-family source: Understat season observations normalized through soccerdata.

Published performance sample: Roma · Serie A · 2025/26. The club in the profile header is the separately reviewed current registration.

Metric glossary and provenance

Definitions, units and source lineage for the evidence published on this profile.

Inspect 26 published metric definitions

Published metric definitions, measurement units and data sources
Metric	Definition	Unit	Calculation	How to read it	Source
Accurate crosses	Completed crosses delivered by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Big chances created	Provider-classified big chances created, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Cross accuracy	Share of attempted crosses that were completed.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Crosses	Crosses attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Dribble success	Share of attempted dribbles completed successfully.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Key passes	Passes that directly create a shot, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Shot accuracy	Share of attempted shots that were on target.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Shots	Shots attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Shots on target	Shots on target by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Dribble attempts	Dribbles attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Successful dribbles	Dribbles completed successfully, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Fouls won	Fouls drawn by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Passes	Passes attempted by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Completed passes	Passes completed by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Pass accuracy	Share of attempted passes that were completed.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Ball security	Times the player lost possession to an opponent challenge, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes · lower is better	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Lower raw rate is favourable; the displayed percentile is direction-adjusted	Not carried in public record
Duels	Ground and aerial duels contested by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Duels won	Ground and aerial duels won by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Duel win rate	Share of contested duels won by the player.	Percentage	Published percentage; numerator and denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Aerial wins	Aerial duels won by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher means more involvement, not automatically better performance	Not carried in public record
Discipline	Fouls committed by the player, normalized for playing time.	Per 90 minutes · lower is better	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Lower raw rate is favourable; the displayed percentile is direction-adjusted	Not carried in public record
xG per 90	Expected-goal value of the player’s shots, normalized for playing time.	xG per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
Non-penalty xG per 90	Expected-goal value of non-penalty shots, normalized for playing time.	Non-penalty xG per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
xA per 90	Expected assists assigned to the player’s key passes, normalized for playing time.	xA per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
xG chain per 90	Expected-goal value of open-play possessions in which the player participated, normalized for playing time.	xG chain per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record
xG buildup per 90	Expected-goal value of open-play possessions involving the player before the shot, excluding the player’s shots and final pass.	xG buildup per 90 minutes	Published rate per 90; numerator and minute denominator are not carried in the public record	Higher percentile is favourable within the stated role cohort	Not carried in public record

Source seasonNot carried per metric

Release captured2026-07-18

Source data-throughNot carried per metric

Release captured identifies this public release; it does not claim that every upstream source was current through that date. Source names remain unavailable because they are not carried per metric in the public record. Percentiles describe position within the stated comparison context. Wonderkid Score inputs, weights and formula remain proprietary and are not disclosed here.

Market evidenceValuation history coverage · ReadyValuation-history coverage is ready with 15 reviewed historical observations, alongside the separate model estimate and likely-sale range.

Scout estimate

~€25m

€25–49m tier

Rounded Wonderkid Scout estimate · 2026-07-18

Likely-sale range

Not calibrated

Model-led only

Market evidence

No dated anchor

A range will appear only after player-specific evidence is reviewed.

The estimate is informed by dated player-specific market or fee evidence, reviewed comparables, and current football evidence. It is not a quoted fee or asking price.

Historical market observations

2021-10-05€25M last recorded point2025-12-23

Market reference universe: the reviewed Transfermarkt public U23 market-value table. Chart source: dcaribou/transfermarkt-datasets (CC0 1.0; Transfermarkt-derived). Historical observations are not current asking prices.

Club-to-club transfer historyTransfer history coverage · ReadyTransfer-history coverage is ready with 8 reviewed records, newest first.

AS RomaBrighton
2026-06-30 · Return from loan · Fee not reported
BrightonAS Roma
2025-07-23 · Loan · Fee not reported
West HamBrighton
2025-06-30 · Return from loan · Fee not reported
BrightonWest Ham
2025-02-03 · Loan · Fee not reported
Brighton U21Brighton
2022-07-01 · Permanent · Fee not reported
BohemiansBrighton U23
2021-01-09 · Permanent · Fee not reported
Bohs AcademyBohemians
2019-09-20 · Permanent · Fee not reported
St. Kevins BoysBohs Academy
2019-01-01 · Permanent · Fee not reported

Source: salimt/football-datasets (Transfermarkt-derived).

Recorded moves may not form a complete career chain. The current club shown above is reviewed separately.

Recent senior involvementRecent matches coverage · PartialRecent-match coverage is partial with 10 reviewed appearances; unavailable match context is omitted.

vs VfB Stuttgart

2026-01-22 · UEFA Europa League · Started

Stronger opponent sample

90'

0G · 0A

vs US Sassuolo

2026-01-10 · Serie A · Started

Peer-level opponent sample

39'

0G · 0A

vs US Lecce

2026-01-06 · Serie A · Started

Lighter opponent sample

60'

1G · 0A

vs Atalanta BC

2026-01-03 · Serie A · Started

Stronger opponent sample

60'

0G · 0A

vs Genoa CFC

2025-12-29 · Serie A · Started

Lighter opponent sample

85'

1G · 1A

vs Juventus FC

2025-12-20 · Serie A · Substitute

Stronger opponent sample

34'

0G · 0A

vs Como 1907

2025-12-15 · Serie A · Started

Stronger opponent sample

90'

0G · 0A

vs Celtic FC

2025-12-11 · UEFA Europa League · Started

Peer-level opponent sample

69'

2G · 0A

vs Cagliari Calcio

2025-12-07 · Serie A · Substitute

Lighter opponent sample

28'

0G · 0A

vs SSC Napoli

2025-11-30 · Serie A · Started

Stronger opponent sample

45'

0G · 0A

Profile context and privacyPublic identity fields, release dates and age-protection boundaries.

Position group: Forward
Position: CF

Ages are shown only in whole years. Exact birth dates are not published for any player. Under-18 profiles do not display portraits, physical details, or detailed history.

How to read this profileHigh-level onlyInterpretation guidance and limitations without publishing proprietary calculation weights.

Wonderkid Score

A position-aware discovery score informed by performance, age, playing time and competition context. It prioritizes search and comparison; it is not a career prediction.

Percentiles and scout prompts

Percentiles compare current published role evidence. Low involvement is not automatically a weakness; tactics, opponent quality, sample size and video context still matter.

Versioned release

This score is bound to release global-top-250-2026-07-18. A public “what moved” explanation will appear only after a second comparable score, minutes and role snapshot exists.

Youth age context

Verified private cohort windows can be retained as coarse validation bands. The current release does not apply a relative-age score correction. Exact birth dates are never published, and unavailable context is never inferred.

Detailed model weights, internal provider identifiers and raw source payloads are not part of the public profile. Unavailable athletic-tracking, off-ball, contract and event-location evidence is omitted rather than estimated.

Coverage gapsNot scoredImportant scouting dimensions reserved for verified evidence rather than inferred from conventional event totals.

Athletic tracking

Top speed, acceleration, repeat sprinting and contact tolerance require consistent tracking or testing data.

Off-ball intelligence

Movement, scanning, space creation and pressure behaviour require observed location data or reviewed video.

Scout projection

Ceiling, tactical fit and development priorities require a verified human scouting report and longitudinal evidence.

Spatial evidence

Action maps require verified player-linked event coordinates. Territory, off-ball movement and physical maps require tracking data and are never estimated from totals.

Evidence grade

How much reviewed public evidence supports this profile—not a talent grade.

Moderate evidence

A meaningful reviewed sample with some coverage limits still visible.

Senior sample: 776 min
Role measures: 5
Requested role coverage: 23 measuresPartial

Snapshot 2026-07-18. Grade presentation follows the reviewed evidence state already attached to the profile.